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 post-nonlinear model


Enabling Causal Discovery in Post-Nonlinear Models with Normalizing Flows

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Post-nonlinear (PNL) causal models stand out as a versatile and adaptable framework for modeling intricate causal relationships. However, accurately capturing the invertibility constraint required in PNL models remains challenging in existing studies. To address this problem, we introduce CAF-PoNo (Causal discovery via Normalizing Flows for Post-Nonlinear models), harnessing the power of the normalizing flows architecture to enforce the crucial invertibility constraint in PNL models. Through normalizing flows, our method precisely reconstructs the hidden noise, which plays a vital role in cause-effect identification through statistical independence testing. Furthermore, the proposed approach exhibits remarkable extensibility, as it can be seamlessly expanded to facilitate multivariate causal discovery via causal order identification, empowering us to efficiently unravel complex causal relationships. Extensive experimental evaluations on both simulated and real datasets consistently demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms several state-of-the-art approaches in both bivariate and multivariate causal discovery tasks.


Learning Causal Graphs via Monotone Triangular Transport Maps

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study the problem of causal structure learning from data using optimal transport (OT). Specifically, we first provide a constraint-based method which builds upon lower-triangular monotone parametric transport maps to design conditional independence tests which are agnostic to the noise distribution. We provide an algorithm for causal discovery up to Markov Equivalence with no assumptions on the structural equations/noise distributions, which allows for settings with latent variables. Our approach also extends to score-based causal discovery by providing a novel means for defining scores. This allows us to uniquely recover the causal graph under additional identifiability and structural assumptions, such as additive noise or post-nonlinear models. We provide experimental results to compare the proposed approach with the state of the art on both synthetic and real-world datasets.


Estimation of Bivariate Structural Causal Models by Variational Gaussian Process Regression Under Likelihoods Parametrised by Normalising Flows

arXiv.org Machine Learning

One major drawback of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence is its lack of explainability. One approach to solve the problem is taking causality into account. Causal mechanisms can be described by structural causal models. In this work, we propose a method for estimating bivariate structural causal models using a combination of normalising flows applied to density estimation and variational Gaussian process regression for post-nonlinear models. It facilitates causal discovery, i.e. distinguishing cause and effect, by either the independence of cause and residual or a likelihood ratio test. Our method which estimates post-nonlinear models can better explain a variety of real-world cause-effect pairs than a simple additive noise model. Though it remains difficult to exploit this benefit regarding all pairs from the T\"ubingen benchmark database, we demonstrate that combining the additive noise model approach with our method significantly enhances causal discovery.